Blog-Journal

Bitcoin Becomes a Tech Stock

Our approach to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies has been modelled over the years to align with our stance on frontier stock markets, such as Morocco and Kazakhstan. These assets may afford opportunity for some, but they require specialist knowledge that may be a bridge too far for most global investors. We never felt a need […]

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Churn Is Valuation Flare

Customer retention is essential to business survival. It measures the underlying health of a firm. In April, Netflix announced it had lost some 200,000 subscribers in the first quarter, suggesting that consumers were abandoning the streaming company. The stock price was penalized because of the headline interpretation of subscriber churn. In fact, the number could […]

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Taliban Focuses on Economy, Cancels Poppy Cultivation

A strange thing happened in Afghanistan this month. The Taliban outlawed poppy cultivation. On the surface, that decision would appear to be a bold, counter-narcotic move. Many argue that the policy will send the fragile Afghan economy further down the drain. Or will it? The breadseed poppy (papaver somniferumis) is the most important crop in […]

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Semiconductor Capex Soars. Is It Misdirected?

Legislation now in play in Washington aims to provide as much as $52 billion in loans, guarantees, and other incentives to technology companies for retrofitting US-based chip manufacturing. That seems logical, if not politically expedient, at a time when US households are being deprived of consumer goods because of a global chip shortage. There are […]

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How Many Covid-19 Deaths Are Too Many?

We are responsive to the view that a pandemic ends when people say that it ends. Despite the more casual attitude toward Covid-19 in diverse geographies, statistics remain sobering, at least here in the United States. According to the Center for Disease Control, some 120,000 people died directly from Covid-19 in the first three months […]

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In Colombia, Coal Is New-Found Priority

The war in Ukraine has jolted Colombia, at least economically. We are struck by news that Bogota is trying to accelerate coal output, as well as identify mining surpluses, to fill at-hand and oversized shortfalls in Europe, including Ukraine. Colombia is one of the world’s top-ten producers of coal. In recent years, the industry there […]

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UAE Pumps $2 Billion into Egypt

The existential threat to Egypt that is harbored in higher food prices is more than a topic for debate. Abu Dhabi just announced that it is backstopping Cairo with some $2 billion in investment, an approach that seems more palatable than a hastily-assembled aid package. The Gulf nation is purchasing shares in Egyptian companies that […]

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Privately-Held Rubens Has New Owner, At a Discount

Peter Paul Rubens is one of the masters of seventeenth century painting. Known for fluid depictions of religious and mythological characters, Rubens is an essential part of the collection at the Prado and the Metropolitan Museum of Art, among other cornerstone museums. We were intrigued when one of his notable works, “Portrait of a Lady” […]

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India Is a Venture-Capital Market in Transition

In financial lore, IPOs are supposed to be a risk-free investment, especially in India. Strong stock-market momentum after the Covid-induced collapse of early 2020 attracted fresh institutional interest. Many of India’s startup jewels are replicas, up to a point, of successful tech companies elsewhere. The Indian heritage of using frugality to overcome adversity adds a […]

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